James Lovelock Says Live It Up: We've Got "20 years before it hits the fan"
Not the way I wanted to start my Saturday, reading that James Lovelock, the author of the Gaia hypotheses, is predicting that we have already passed the tipping point and so we might as well "enjoy life while you can." Worse, I have heard a similar prediction from Dr. Andrew Weaver, Canada's highly respected climate scientist and Nobel-winning lead author on the IPCC report.
Dr. Weaver gave it more like 40 years, but then he and most scientists are quite conservative about these things. I must say, my own research leads me to conclude that, if we have time to make change, it isn't much at all. Unless the world as-a-whole undertakes a radical wartime-like effort to completely retool the economy and eliminate greenhouse gas emissions, it will be all over except the crying.
And, unfortunately, the wars and rape and murder and robbery and all the other things that happen as a civilisation collapses. I encourage everyone to do their own research, but certain facts seem incontrovertible:
1. The IPCC predictions are conservative.
2. The IPCC predictions do not take into account certain positive feedback loops that will accelerate climate change and its effects.
3. The actual, measured events have generally occurred much more quickly than predicted.
The Arctic ice melt is the most recent and obvious example of the latter. Scientists are now saying that the summer ice may all be gone within a few years. That would be catastrophic, as the Arctic ocean would then absorb heat rather than reflect it back into space, as happens when it is covered by ice and snow. As the Arctic sea ice goes, so it is very likely that methane - 23 times as potent a greenhouse gas as carbon dioxide - will be released in vast quantities from the permafrost.
And there will nothing to stop Greenland from melting - again, likely much more quickly than predicted - raising sea levels 7m or 20 feet. Each one metre rise in sea level will create 100 million refugees, and I would not be at all surprised if that figure was conservative.
So, what to do? I think it is the duty of enlightened people, and the Green Parties, to propose rapid and decisive action. We are faced with a crisis and must respond appropriately. Lovelock predicts that 80% of the human population will be dead by 2100, and I have heard similar predictions elsewhere. It is not hard to imagine that, as civilization collapses, the social effects of the climate crisis - war, murder, rioting, widescale food and water theft - will result in more immediate deaths than actual shortages.
What would you do if you knew the world was going to end in 20-40 years? And what do you think a lot of other people will do?
We must have a plan for this change. Half measures are inadequate, and we certainly don't have time for 'the market' to respond if we simply remove subsidies and implement a carbon tax. We must lay out a program of rapid change that moves us to a green economy with almost zero greenhouse gas emissions within four years. We must retrain all those who lose their jobs, we must invest immediately in clean and green research, we must bring corporations and vested interests to heel, and we must repair our democracy. And we must do it all very bloody fast.
- Brian Gordon's blog
- Vous devez vous connecter pour poster des commentaires
Search
Email Updates:
Communiqués de presse
- Media Release | 07-févr.-2010
- Statement | 05-févr.-2010
- Media Release | 05-févr.-2010







Commentaires
Overwhelming
What has to be accomplished is pretty overwhelming. So what we do is take a deep breathe, put our heads down and keep going on our little piece of it. We can also hope like hell there is a Black Swan out there that will change this future. ("Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable" by Nassim Taleb)
The world won't end, but our global village might
Brian said, "What would you do if you knew the world was going to end in 20-40 years? And what do you think a lot of other people will do?.."
Well, the world will change, but it won't end. The planet will continue to fly around the sun long after humans are gone. Maybe it's more accurate to say 'the world as we know it' will come to an end.
Various societies around the globe might come to an end, and civilization will be extremely strained. Drought and famine caused by climate change will cause mass emigration to countries like Canada, and governments will likely collapse or enforce martial law to deal with the collapse of society as we know it.
This message is a very hard sell. Most people deny it outright; either in denying that it's really happening, or denying that we need to do anything significant about it. I like your equation of action needed on climate change as similar to a 'wartime effort'. We all need to make changes in our lifestyles - some significant ones - in order to prepare ourselves for what's ahead. The good news is that we can enjoy a level of well-being even with a reduction in certain luxuries we've become accustom to. Depending on how one defines 'quality of life' we can shift our society to one that is more efficient and collectively happier, but that wastes far, far less. This could be a major transformation that our current government is loathe to suggest for fear that it would be political suicide. I have to ask how many more years we can go back and forth between a government, run by the old line parties, that chooses to pretend to take proper action but doesn't. Apparently Lovelock says 'time's up'.
I think it's important for the Green Party to continue to explain to Canadians that we are a party of positive change; a national political party that wishes to move to a society where we can maintain a quality of life & level of well being in a sustainable fashion. The sooner we do that, the better a sustainable quality of life will be into the future.
Brian, your closing paragraph is bang on. I'd like to offer a way to message this and other related subjects in your efforts as a candidate. Please have a look at the information at these two blog posts of mine.
http://greencameron.blogspot.com/2007/12/happiness...
http://greencameron.blogspot.com/2007/01/climate-c...
---
The blog section of the GPC website is a place for GPC members to share their personal opinions and views. The views I express here are my own and are not the official position of the Green Party of Canada.
The world as we know it: so long, we hardly knew ye
Yes, I meant the world as we know it, including what we think of as civilisation. It is hard to imagine that we will get more civilised as the environment changes radically and puts tremendous stress on a system that is designed to resist change. It's not just massively powerful vested interests like corporations, unions, and political parties that are set up to maintain the status quo. It is also generations of conditioning. It is our system for determining who's on top. (With rare exceptions, you don't get to be CEO by embracing radical change.) Try telling someone we must move to a sustainable economy, because an economy based on growth is literally insane, and they will question your sanity.
However, this is what we must do, and we must communicate it well if we wish to open minds and have influence. It is easy enough to show that a growth economy is daft: Point out that Canada is finite in size and ask how many people you would like in the country. The only comebacks are "Who cares, that's a problem for the future," or people have to start talking about science fiction solutions like colonizing other planets.
While discrediting the growth economy (and therefore the other three political parties, by-the-way), we must also present a positive, compelling, green alternative. We must show people how a sustainable economy looks: cob houses that last 1,000 years and require almost no energy, walkable communities, covered and comfortable downtowns, and so on. We must make the new green economy appealing and obvious.
Brian Gordon
Nominated Candidate, Esquimalt-Juan de Fuca
Green Party of Canada
Trained Presenter
An Inconvenient Truth
People - Planet - Prosperity
The New Green Economy
On the "Wartime" climate effort
I am so glad to see increasing use of the phrase "wartime" in a climate crisis context. I've long thought the parallels obvious. As Canada signed on to stop the Nazis in the late 30s, we weren't shy about it. We retooled whole industries in a few months, in a massive portion of that economic sector. We sent 10% of our workforce overseas to face death. We rationed our access to goods and services. We invested our life savings in the debt necessary to do all this. We demanded real action of anyone able to provide for the effort. We read about the struggle on the front page of every paper. We grew victory gardens. We took in orphans. We simply witnessed the gravity of the situation, acted accordingly, and required the best of each other, no questions asked.
So what was different? The political will? The evidence of Panzer divisions rolling across France? The culture of service? The recent history of World War One? We now live in a time when politics is assumed boring or sinister, the evidence is discredited to a distracted audience, and we have no analogous effort to understand.
I think what is different is that we are, in an endless array of insignificant actions, our own threat. How will people be encouraged to take action against atrocious behaviour when it is our own? There has been very little hope offered in all the education, all the news stories, all the prognoses, all the campaigns, projects, and programs. What is desperately needed is hopeful and intensely active leadership.
And that's why I'm a Green. I'd rather enjoy a career of dispensing wise and bold solutions, not fight for the privilege to govern a state of emergency.
Jason Hammond
Male Co-Chair, Young Greens of Canada
youth.greenparty.ca
less war
If you & others " 'd rather enjoy a career of dispensing wise and bold solutions, not fight for the privilege to govern a state of emergency", why the "glad[ness] to see increasing use of the phrase "wartime" in a climate crisis context"? Please see my repeated taking to task this recourse to war analogies, on many grounds; eg at http://www.greenparty.ca/en/node/3265, from which: "If English-speaking people can still only be largely motivated to great causes by warlike rhetoric, I truly think there is no hope for them in the end."
Grand green motivations must distance themselves from appeal to warlike matters, esp. of the past century. There are serious "parallels" to the period repeatedly appealed to, but not as most would have it. If the only intent is to draw attention to what is collectively possible on a large scale, that might seem benign enough. But aspirations via exploitation & despoilation similar to those of today ran as undercurrents in those wars, from financial manipulation to vicious jockeying for supremacy of resource access to mass sprawling deracination from connexion to the very basics of our sustenance that must form the basis of green understanding. It's like that reference in the GP Climate Plan criticized at http://www.green.ca/en/node/1873: "Yet also is there mention of Kennedy & the space program. This reference is in the same unfortunate boat as those about & around WWII. If, as some of us are inclined to believe, direct upper atmospheric harm has the gravest effect on climate, what sense could there be in such an appeal?!"
Don't inadvertently play into others' deeply ungreen & more immediate aspirations "to govern a state of emergency". Sweepingly "wise" solutions of greener varieties come in quiet form. You can call that "bold", but in politics of opposition language is sometimes almost everything, so close attention to rhetoric & symbolism is required.
Wartime level of effort is a useful analogy
We have a common history around successfully responding to a world-shattering event: WWII (and WWI, but the former is far more recent and the evil clearer). Nothing else even comes close in our history. Therefore, to inspire people and to get them to internalize the level of effort required, comparing what we face to WWII is very useful.
As Jason mentioned, there were Victory Gardens, a massive and rapid retooling of the economy to meet the challenge, and a willingness to work for the common good. We need all of these if we wish to meet this crisis.
And, as Cameron pointed out, there will be some disastrous consequences of the climate crisis that will mean a lot of people will die. We tend to be somewhat smug about that here, because we live in a vast and wealthy country, and perhaps think we will be unaffected. But, as Cameron says, there will be those who try to enter other countries or take them over as times get desperate. So, sadly, the wartime analogy applies here, too.
Brian Gordon
Nominated Candidate, Esquimalt-Juan de Fuca
Green Party of Canada
Trained Presenter
An Inconvenient Truth
People - Planet - Prosperity
The New Green Economy
out of the mainstream
"We have a common history around successfully responding to a world-shattering event: WWII (and WWI, but the former is far more recent and the evil clearer)."
The wars were long series of events; the suggested relative clarity is disputable, certainly from the viewpoints of participants & in consideration of the latter war being a continuation of the former; any "success" involved the most ungreen costs imaginable, from postwar reliance on destructive means stemming from then to actual poisoning by things like radioactive fallout. Where's the "success"? The collective wartime response in mass small actions of voluntary privation I understand is a sensible object of all this, but even that is most limited,. for no one was "doing without" without an eye to resuming more of the same thereafter, which they & we all did to the hilt, in terms of needless mass acquisition & consumption by dangerous earth-throttling means.
"Nothing else even comes close in our history."
You must have missed my remarks regarding a fortuitous bicentennial very salient to "our history": see the 2nd paragraph at the link above.
I do not see that we need "Victory Gardens" now, for as I noted above, this appeal implies a getting beyond them when we rather need a re-settling into a renewed connexion to such basics, the only victory needed being that over our own generally wayward history. "Massive and rapid retooling" seems fine, but this talk seems to risk slipping into implying ungreen centralism and overly industrial mindset. The "willingness to work for the common good" is very much to the green point, but esp. in a political & green context I rather think appeal to things like overcoming the slave trade are a much better fit.
The "wartime analogy applies here" and now already. It is going on all over the world, with cruel causes piggybacking on or masquerading behind juster ones. We need appeal via a reverse kind of rhetoric, not more assimilation to the same. I don't know how detailed or specific we can get just here, if it's useful I could go in discussion this way. But the main & general point is about language & symbolism & cultural lucidity. As one discerns how deeply wrongful the main currents of "our history" are, hard to discern because learning outside the mainstream must be sought, then discomfort of association should set in, and language more consonant with green ideals might flow.
Daryl, we're going to disagree on this one
The slave trade was abolished 200 years ago - that is hardly fresh in people's minds or our cultural history, especially as Canada was not a slave country. We sheltered slaves. Canadians are not going to understand a call to action that is equivalent to eliminating the slave trade.
Second, I think you are being too literal. I am saying we need a wartime level of effort, not that we need to do the same things we did pre-WWII. (Although gardens and fruit trees in cities seems like a very good idea.) Retooling the economy does mean that industry needs to change. When Roosevelt decided to retool the US economy to enter WWII, he leaned on every factory to change, and within six months, they did. Six months.
We need to do something similar. For example, we could change building codes literally overnight to state that new buildings must produce more energy than they consume (France has ordered this by 2020), that they be built of local materials, that they be designed to last 1,000 years, and so on. This is a centrally-ordered policy that has the effect of increasing local involvement, especially when combined with carbon taxes. No more stick-built houses where the 2x6s come from thousands of kilometres away; instead we get cob, stone, and other 'back-to-the-future' materials that are locally sourced.
A second vital role for the federal government is to show how this can be done. Search Canada and the world for working examples and implement what works - now. No 'phasing in,' no endless studies. If it works, do it.
Brian Gordon
Nominated Candidate, Esquimalt-Juan de Fuca
Green Party of Canada
Trained Presenter
An Inconvenient Truth
People - Planet - Prosperity
The New Green Economy
what's war got to do with it?
Now tell me how on earth your decent example of building relates to WWII?!
What's our disagreement? About somehow having to continue perpetrating something of the lie of the benefits of that type of war to motivate Canadians? Why go along with part truths when you can go whole? If Greens are into diffuse awareness of deeper goings on, into real democratic access prerequisite for which is more deeply questioning education, then deeper uglier motives behind that war, and ongoing ones, must see the light of day. Just to refer to some heroic construct (and it is a construct, not a greenly uncontroversial historical account) shades into a propagandistic game that Greens especially should distance from.
There is a vast difference between instituting certain building requirements and wartime requisitioning & attendant privation. There is a vast difference between a government that leads by green example and a wartime one sending others to work & fight & worse for ultimately shady motives that piggyback on some better ones.
In my link I readily admit that the slave trade abolition comparison would be largely lost on most Canadians. But you make my point that "Canada was not a slave country" -- precisely in our relative historical detachment can we more justly make the extended anti-slavery appeal! But one slavery was substituted for others, and the sooner this kind of thing is understood, at least by some core activists, the more serious the motivation. I'm surprised that you should show as much interest as you have here in the kind of rhetoric of an Obama, which is as out of Canadian character as appeal to Wilberforce is unlikely to play well. Unless you mean as well to speak to activists alone & their deeper understandings; but I rather think you're inclined to try his kind of words on Canadians.
Jungle War
I like the war analogy because there is an ongoing assault on trees that is off the radar screen of most people including Greens. The trees are losing the war; people are winning - if you can call it that.
I was asking some hydro workers yesterday why they were replacing an old wood hydro pole with another wood pole. They said wood is cheaper than concrete and steel. This was a 50' western cedar pole which they got at a bargain for $3000. This is why we have to sacrifice Canadian old growth forests? Hydro poles? During a global warming crisis?
Western cedar is now worth $3000 per cubic metre - a highly prized commodity. You can bet your booties that the big forestry industries are keeping a low profile during this global warming discussion. Just shut up and keep cutting as fast as you can before it becomes an issue. Cedar shakes are attractive but there are steel look-alikes.
We drove to Quebec last week which is like taking a tour of a military operation against wood. The first logging truck was rolling out of Algonquin Park. That always makes me laugh. Is "Algonquin" a native word for "wood all gone"? What is a Provincial Park anyway? Just a place where you can't build but anything else goes? We saw 4 log trucks and 3 pulp mills between Orillia and Mt. Tremblant on our way there.
Do we really need to sustain this unsustainable war and unsustainable economy or just realign the economy to more environmentally-friendly products. Why are Greens fixated on emissions? What is the Green position on stopping this carnage? Do we just wait until the resource is depleted e.g. East coast fisheries? There is no detailed discussion or committment on this issue on these web pages and it is pathetic. Lots of chatter about increasing support, proportional representation and carbon tax. What is the Green position for REVERSING, yes, REVERSING destruction of forest via legislation? Carbon tax disincentives or something more serious?
misapplied analogy
"50' western cedar pole" --- if hydro pole must be had, would you prefer a concrete one, into creation of which you'd better figure destructive energy expenditure?; or cable burial, which might be encased in some other destructively created & enduring material? I do agree that something like war is being waged now, and forests are a casualty. The suggested tactic is to shift & slip away from such activity, rather than with cognate un-creativity confront in some kind of battle. The shift should question the premises requiring so many transmission lines, so hydro pole need not be had, and "50' western cedar" can stand not as a pole to horizontally transmit mostly entropically among humans, but receive as branched & foliate from on high & transfer to all.
So we like the analogy for what's going on, but the issue is the appropriateness of more of the same as prescription for Green inspiration. Do you like, say, the American (phony) "war on drugs"?
Public Apology
Yes sorry I didn't write a 10-page analysis on alternatives to using wood hydro poles and discuss the American phony war on drugs and anything else that popped into your mind. I was hoping that making people aware of this activity might be of benefit and stimulate such analysis. I'll try to be less cognately uncreative in future.
I had a profound revelation this morning - Good Friday. Christ nailed to a wooden cross. What an appropriate metaphor for the human condition. Using wood to crucify ourselves.
Excuse me while I shift and slip away.
trees, crosses, holidays
Tell me, Martin, why would it be inappropriate to decry war talk as inspiration & to demand clearer expression? War-talk is useful in some contexts, but our civilization has been through too much of that already. A Jewish holiday coincides today, Purim -- see the Book of Esther for older source material on such unfortunate use of trees. But take care to not misunderstand, because one traditional trope has it that that which you decry as Green is ongoing to this day and must be confronted or otherwise dealt with, at one time via war (see older Bible references to Amalek), later by turning things around back onto a world-oppressor (Purim story & trees), these days (for some 2000 rabbinic years) via learning good words for right action, which words for here & now I insist exclude war analogy.
I Forgot Hockey sticks
Men hitting each other with hockey sticks. There's another appropriate analogy for human pain from the cutting of trees. Two revelations in one day!!! Wow, I must be the new messiah. All I need is some followers. ok here's my first two commandments:
1. "The suggested tactic is to shift & slip away from such activity, rather than with cognate un-creativity confront in some kind of battle. The shift should question the premises requiring so many transmission lines, so hydro pole need not be had, and "50' western cedar" can stand not as a pole to horizontally transmit mostly entropically among humans, but receive as branched & foliate from on high & transfer to all."
2. (See 1 above)
Note to followers: please do not come to my house this weekend: I have company.
"popping into mind"
Yours is just a wonderful way to not discuss the main contentious point, isn't it. My objection regards use of language, a concern of your own while suggesting focus on "public safety". Your method of defending your support of war-talk, how is it useful? You've suggested focus on "sustainability, precautionary principle and public safety". The first term I now counsel leaving mostly to others, lest it turn into meaningless pap (see eg http://www.greenparty.ca/en/node/3053#comment-2275 near the end, http://www.partivert.ca/en/node/3076 ). The second I've spoken strongly in favour of as most useful as cultural offset (see at http://www.greenparty.ca/en/node/2337 , esp. comment http://www.greenparty.ca/en/node/2337#comment-1540 ). The third we can leave to another party, but I think it can be a useful trope, logically cohering with the second. You have legitimate concerns about language & presentation before a general public, I am rebutting some your self-confessed penchant for defence & military analogy. In return I do not think high-sticking is useful. I make a careful distinction between what's for mostly insider versus more general consumption. But both should include respect & responsibility in argument.
So the challenge, if you'd like to bother, is to "defend" yourself by means other than sarcasm. I've shared your primary concern regarding deforestation for decades. But I think that a "war" against the mechanically-minded warring on forests is misplaced rhetoric that risks playing into more mechanical-mindedness. And there seems to be no good reason to avoid in all venues recourse to any sources, including traditional religious, that can buttress good green cause. If American public discourse is woefully anti-intellectual, I understand also that Canadians tend to the non-intellectual; but that doesn't make the intellectual dispensible, just (tolerably) lonelier. Do discuss, no need to raise your stick in self-defence.
High Sticking
I won't raise my stick because it is contrary to the first (and second) commandment which clearly state that woodies can only extend horizontally amongst humans. I am forever in your debt for that one.
More from James Lovelock
In another article, Dr. Lovelock expanded on his doom-and-gloom theme. He believes that the Earth can support about one billion people, no more, and therefore several billion of us will die by 2040. Twenty-forty. I hope he is wrong on his dates, but I do believe he is right on the consequences, and this certainly underscores the need for immediate and radical change.
He suggests that Americans will move into Canada, presumably because they will have overpopulated their own country, and large swathes will be unsuitable for agriculture. (The U.S. Southwest simply does not have enough water, and as the area warms, the deserts there will expand. Our industrial agricultural practices will make things considerably worse.)
In our recent immigration debate, the question came up about how many people Canada could support. If Lovelock (and Malthus) are correct, the Earth in total can support one billion. That surely means the U.S. is grossly overpopulated, as their current population of 300 million would give them almost a third of the world's total.
Lovelock is more concerned by the American tendency to believe that everything can be fixed.....
"Technology is neutral. There is good and bad. It was technology that got us into this mess. The name of the game is consequences. I will take a bet that if climate change gets really bad in America, not only will they buy land in Canada, but they will be saying: we can fix this.
If things get as bad as quickly as Lovelock suggests, I can't see the Americans politely buying land from us.
And I disagree with Lovelock that we can adapt to the climate crisis, even with "only" one billion people on this planet. The changes will be swift and severe, and the breakdown of civilization may well result in devastating wars, possibly nuclear. All kinds of weaponry will fall into the hands of bad people; the breakdown of the Soviet Union will be nothing in comparison to the breakdown of civilization. Because this climate change will be so rapid, there will be little time to adapt: we cannot rapidly revert to organic farming methods, and do we even have enough people with that knowledge, anyway?
The full article is a good, if depressing read: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/pages/live/articles/new...
Brian Gordon
Nominated Candidate, Esquimalt-Juan de Fuca
Green Party of Canada
Trained Presenter
An Inconvenient Truth
People - Planet - Prosperity
The New Green Economy
Ideas, not authority
Lovelock's ideas deserve discussion, but he's just one guy, not the authority on carrying capacity of the Earth. On what model does he base his numbers? If we are to decide on an optimum human population, we will first need 2 things: what is the acceptable standard of living we are using (because this has huge effect on carrying capacity), and then what is the science-based consensus (analogous to IPCC) on the resulting sustainable population? Anything before that seems like guesswork.
As political representatives of today's citizens/voters, it behooves us to address all of their survival rather than wish 80% of them away.
Erich Jacoby-Hawkins
Barrie, ON
The views I express on this blog are purely my own and should not be construed to represent the official position of the Green Party of Canada - the same goes for all other people's posts & comments.
What is the carrying capacity of the Earth or any one country?
Good point, Eric. I am not saying I agree with Lovelock, just that he is a respected name and worthy of consideration, as you said.
The carrying capacity depends on the standard of living and how we create that standard. The methods we have been using are decreasing the carrying capacity of the Earth both now and especially in the future. For example, if we build cob houses that are built of sustainable, carbon-consuming materials, and that put out more energy than they consume, or if we farm in ways that are sustainable and build the earth, then many more people can exist than if we build and farm using our current methods.
We are also talking about the average standard of living. The majority of the super-rich jet off to Paris to do their Christmas shopping, or whenever and wherever they want, for that matter. Yachtbuilders are unable to keep up with demand for large yachts. These people are putting far more strain on the planet than you or I. As a society, we have placed individualism on a pedestal, and swept social responsibility aside. Why should someone - anyone - be allowed to live in a 10,000 square foot house? Or drive a Hummer? I can't think of any good reason.
Brian Gordon
Nominated Candidate, Esquimalt-Juan de Fuca
Green Party of Canada
Trained Presenter
An Inconvenient Truth
People - Planet - Prosperity
The New Green Economy
Pollution Proportions
Keep in mind that the majority of the super-rich are still less than 2-5% of the world's population and that it's more industry, deforestation, waste, and energy generation that accounts for the majority of environmental strain.
Nevertheless I agree with you that no person should lead a wasteful lifestyle, not now, not ever.
However if we are going to talk about making an individual difference, I think that we may be wasting some effort concentrating on a very small demographic, when we might be better off figuring out and disseminating proactive ways in which the 'average' person can help do their part.
To much of the world, WE are the super-rich
Our use of resources and resulting pollution has caused almost all the human-related global warming to date.
However, with regard to the Paris Hilton types, they are a symbol. When England was enduring war-time rationing - sugar, gasoline, and just about everything - someone said that one person driving by in a Rolls undid morale like German bombs never could. The same applies today; when people do try to be part of the difference, then see selfish fools driving around in Hummers...it leads to an attitude of "Why bother?"
Brian Gordon
Nominated Candidate, Esquimalt-Juan de Fuca
Green Party of Canada
Trained Presenter
An Inconvenient Truth
People - Planet - Prosperity
The New Green Economy
Two answers to the conspicuous
There are two ways to address the kind of offensively conspicuous consumption you describe, and we can follow both simultaneously.
First, there is social attitude. In some societies, it is unthinkable to make such ostentatious displays of wealth or waste. In some societies (like Pacific northwest), a person's wealth & status was judged not by how much they accumulated & hoarded, but how much they gave away.
We need to cultivate an attitude of disdain for such behaviour.
Second, we should end the ability of people to overconsume without financial penalty. Carbon taxes, resource taxes, and pollution taxes would vastly increase the cost of such consumption. People are somewhat less critical of Al Gore or David Suzuki jetting off somewhere because each of them donates millions of dollars of their own speaking fees to environmental charities. Presumably this then offsets their 'guilt' at having a larger home or travelling more - while both also work to reduce their own footprint.
I don't think it's possible to simply ban conspicuous display of wealth and maintain a free society. These are things to be dealt with through social and financial tools rather than legal restrictions.
Of course, we can also do things like have narrower streets where Hummers don't fit, or put size & weight limits on our streets to screen out such useless behemoths. Just as we've made smoking more limited & difficult without banning it, we could do the same for oversize SUVs.
Erich Jacoby-Hawkins
Barrie, ON
The views I express on this blog are purely my own and should not be construed to represent the official position of the Green Party of Canada - the same goes for all other people's posts & comments.
James Lovelock is smarter than I am
And he has been doing planetary science for decades. So I respect his views.
If I had to bet my own money, I would bet on Lovelock being right. (He supports nuclear power as the best of some bad choices, by the way.)
But, meantime, I sleep better each night if I did something useful within GPC that day to shift society even one inch towards a more ecologically responsible stance.
OK, so this is about me sleeping rather than avoiding a climate apocalypse. So sue me. After the apocalypse :-)
James Hansen says we're at a tipping point - blames fossil fools
James Hansen is NASA's top climate scientist and "was named one of the world's 100 most influential people in 2006 by Time magazine."
He is submitting a paper to Science magazine claiming that the Earth is at a tipping point and we must chop emissions immediately. However, he says the reason we are not taking much action is that the fossil fuel industry
"...is misleading the public and policy makers about the cause of climate change. And that is analogous to what the cigarette manufacturers did. They knew smoking caused cancer, but they hired scientists who said that was not the case."
Hansen also explained why he is speaking out, when normally scientists stick to research:
"It's analogous to an engineer who sees that there's a flaw in the space shuttle before it is to be launched. You don't have any choice. You have to say something.
Al Gore also believes we have passed one tipping point, in that it is clear that our climate has changed. However, he, like Hansen, believe it is not too late and that decisive action will prevent disaster.
[Ironically, Hansen made his remarks at an award ceremony where ex-Prime Minister and lead global warming action obstructionist John Howard was also receiving an award for achievement.]
http://www.physorg.com/news126761406.html
Brian Gordon
Nominated Candidate, Esquimalt-Juan de Fuca
Green Party of Canada
Trained Presenter
An Inconvenient Truth
People - Planet - Prosperity
The New Green Economy
Has Earth Passed the Tipping Point?
Forest destruction is now happening all over Canada, as pine beetles destroy more than 50,000 square miles of forest, releasing an estimated 270 megatons of CO2 over the next 14 years. This represents the same amount that would potentially be reduced under the Kyoto Protocol, leaving a net gain to the environment of zero, at least on Canada’s part.
This is not good news. For more, check out: http://www.celsias.com/2008/04/29/has-earth-passed...
Brian Gordon
Nominated Candidate, Esquimalt-Juan de Fuca
Green Party of Canada
Trained Presenter
An Inconvenient Truth
People - Planet - Prosperity
The New Green Economy